Alex Morono vs Daniil Donchenko Prediction

The Alex Morono vs Daniil Donchenko bout at UFC Fight Night on February 7, 2026, in Las Vegas is shaping up as one of the more intriguing matchups on the prelim card.

Both welterweights bring contrasting career paths and momentum into this fight, one a seasoned veteran with a wealth of experience, the other a young rising contender seeking to solidify his place in the UFC welterweight ranks.

Here’s an in-depth preview and prediction for this fight based on each fighter’s profile and career data.

Fighter Profiles: Experience vs Momentum

Alex “The Great White” Morono enters this fight with extensive UFC and professional MMA experience.

The Houston, Texas-born welterweight has compiled a professional record of 24-12-0 with one no-contest and has faced a wide range of high-level competition in the UFC’s 170-pound division.

Morono fights out of an orthodox stance and is known for his high output and well-rounded skill set, featuring both striking and grappling.

His career includes wins over veteran fighters and multiple decisions and submissions, demonstrating his versatility inside the Octagon.

Despite his experience, Morono heads into this clash on a three-fight losing streak, most recently suffering a stoppage loss in his last outing.

He will be motivated to return to the win column and prove that he still belongs among the top welterweight mix. His grappling ability and fight IQ could be key factors if he can slow his younger opponent down.

On the other side, Daniil Donchenko represents a younger generation of fighters. The Ukrainian welterweight boasts a professional record of 13-2-0, with his latest win coming via TKO in the season finale of The Ultimate Fighter (TUF) 33.

Donchenko has impressed early in his UFC tenure, showing powerful striking, quick reflexes, and the ability to finish fights.

His aggressive style and ability to maintain a high pace have made him one of the more exciting newcomers in the division.

Styles and Strengths

In terms of physical traits, both fighters are essentially the same size, listed at around 5’11″ and competing at 170.5 pounds for this fight.

While Morono brings years of Octagon seasoning and grappling chops, Donchenko’s youth, speed, and explosive offense create a challenging matchup.

Morono is known for a well-balanced approach, with an ability to strike from range, clinch effectively, and implement submissions when opportunities arise.

However, his recent form suggests struggles with high-speed counters and against aggressive strikers. The losses in his recent past show he can be outpaced and outworked when his timing is disrupted.

Donchenko’s path has included decisive finishes and a strong showing in TUF 33, where he used elbows and heavy ground-and-pound to secure decisive victories.

His composure and crisp striking accuracy, coupled with a youthful gas tank, provide him an edge in fast exchanges and sustained offense.

Betting Trends and Odds

According to available odds for UFC Vegas 113, Donchenko enters the bout as a significant favorite, while Morono is seen as a heavy underdog.

This reflects not only Donchenko’s rising stock but also Morono’s recent downturn.

Betting outlets and some prediction models favor Donchenko to secure the win, with less than a 15% chance for Morono, according to MMA prediction data.

Prediction: Alex Morono vs Daniil Donchenko

Taking into account the styles, recent performances, and momentum, Daniil Donchenko appears poised to come out on top in this matchup.

His striking accuracy, pace control, and ability to maintain pressure could test Morono’s ability to weather storms, especially later into rounds.

If Donchenko can maintain his pace and keep Morono at range, he could accumulate points or even force a stoppage.

Morono, meanwhile, will need to rely on his veteran savvy, takedown attempts, and more varied attack to disrupt Donchenko’s rhythm.

If he succeeds in dragging the fight into grappling exchanges and uses his experience to control the center of the Octagon, he could steal rounds and potentially eke out a decision.

However, given Donchenko’s dynamic offense and recent performances, a Donchenko decision or TKO victory seems like the more likely outcome.

Final Thoughts

This fight represents a classic clash between experience and rising potential. Morono hopes to remind the UFC welterweight division that he still has what it takes, while Donchenko looks to cement his status as one of the division’s breakout talents.

Fans should expect a fast-paced, technical contest that highlights the contrasting approaches of these two fighters.

For fans analysing the matchup ahead of UFC Fight Night on February 7, this fight could serve as a turning point in both fighters’ careers, either a resurgence for Morono or a breakout evening for Donchenko.

Regardless of the result, this bout showcases the depth and competitiveness of the UFC welterweight ranks.

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