Charles Radtke vs Jose Henrique Prediction, Analysis, Odds

Fight PredictionWelterweight · Main Card · Radtke vs. Henrique UFC Debut

Charles Radtke returns to the octagon at welterweight against Jose Henrique, a Brazilian debutant making his UFC arrival off an 8-1 record. Radtke (11-5, Chicago) is listed at -260 as the experienced hand against a debut fighter with genuine potential but the uncertainty of a first-time UFC performance.

Charles Radtke 🇺🇸

-260

Favourite · 11-5 · Chicago · UFC veteran

Jose Henrique 🇧🇷

+220

Underdog · 8-1 · UFC Debut · Brazilian WW

Fighter Breakdown

Charles Radtke 🇺🇸

11-5 overall — Chicago-based welterweight with UFC experience and the competitive background to handle a Brazilian debutant under main card pressure
At -260, holds the favourite status that reflects both experience advantage and the well-known uncertainty of UFC debuts against established opponents
Concern: Henrique’\”s 8-1 record with a fresh debut energy creates the type of motivated, unscripted performance that can trouble experienced UFC fighters.

Jose Henrique 🇧🇷

8-1 overall — Brazilian welterweight debutant with a strong regional record and the motivation of fighting in the world’\”s biggest MMA promotion for the first time
Brazilian welterweight development — the weight class produces fighters with excellent grappling, solid conditioning, and tactical adaptability at UFC pace
Concern: Radtke’\”s UFC experience and fight IQ advantages are real — debut pressure and the pace difference between regional and UFC competition is the biggest unknown.

⚡ MMAPredict Official Pick

Charles Radtke

Decision or TKO

Radtke wins by experience and UFC-level composure. His -260 price appropriately reflects the advantages of fighting a debut opponent with less preparation for the specific demands of this level. Henrique will make it competitive — Brazilian welterweights tend to be underestimated and his 8-1 record suggests genuine ability. But Radtke’\”s UFC veteran status and fight IQ should prove decisive across three rounds.

Confidence: 6.5 / 10

UFC Fight Night 272 · April 4, 2026 · Meta APEX, Las Vegas · Main Card on Paramount+. Odds for reference only.