Predictions

Jean Matsumoto vs Farid Basharat Prediction: Who Wins At UFC Vegas 113?

Jean Matsumoto vs Farid Basharat on the main card of UFC Vegas 113. Both athletes enter the Octagon with very different records and styles, making this bout one of the most discussed under-the-radar fights of the night.

This preview breaks down each fighter’s history, strengths, weaknesses, and offers a prediction based on fight styles and recent form.

Fighter Profiles

Jean Matsumoto

Brazilian mixed martial artist Jean Matsumoto has compiled an impressive 17-1 professional record as he fights in the Bantamweight division.

Matsumoto, originally from Braganca Paulista in São Paulo, Brazil, stands around 5’6” with a roughly 68-inch reach and competes out of Brazil.

His record reflects a well-rounded skill set with wins by decision, submission and strikes.

Matsumoto’s only loss came against veteran Rob Font in 2025 via a split decision, a close fight that Matsumoto and analysts alike saw as competitive.

Since then, he picked up a split decision win over Miles Johns, showcasing resilience and fight IQ.

From his UFC Stats profile, Matsumoto lands more significant strikes per minute than his upcoming opponent, with roughly 5.4 significant strikes landed on average, backed by a solid takedown average (2.14 per 15 minutes) and a balanced grappling approach.

Farid Basharat

Farid Basharat, nicknamed “Ferocious,” enters this fight with an undefeated professional record of 14-0.

Basharat is an Afghan-born English fighter competing in the same bantamweight class. Standing around 5’8” with a longer reach of about 71 inches, Basharat brings rangier striking and strong wrestling fundamentals into his fights.

Basharat’s UFC campaign has featured clear wins by decision and submission, displaying a diverse offensive arsenal.

His striking accuracy is high, landing more than half his significant strikes, and his takedown average per fight (3.60 per 15 minutes) demonstrates his ability to control where the fight takes place.

Key Strengths and Weaknesses

Matsumoto’s Advantage

  • Striking Volume: Matsumoto’s highly significant strikes landed per minute (5.43) give him an edge in output if he can keep the fight standing.
  • Fight Experience: With 18 professional fights (17 wins, 1 loss), Matsumoto’s depth of experience translates into composure under pressure.
  • Balanced Skillset: Matsumoto isn’t a one-dimensional fighter. His mix of wrestling, striking, and submissions makes him unpredictable.

However, Matsumoto does absorb a fair number of strikes (5.43 SApM), meaning he must manage defense well against precise attackers.

Basharat’s Advantage

  • Undefeated Record: Basharat’s perfect 14-0 mark is a clear sign of consistent performance at all levels.
  • Striking Accuracy: A 52% significant striking accuracy means Basharat lands a high percentage of his offensive output.
  • Grappling and Control: Basharat’s wrestling and defensive numbers are strong, particularly his takedown defense and control when the fight hits the ground.

One potential concern for Basharat is his slightly lower striking pace compared to Matsumoto, which might limit damage over time.

Style Matchup Breakdown

In pure style terms, this is a classic contrast: volume striker vs precision technician. Matsumoto’s higher strike output suggests he could overwhelm Basharat if the fight stays standing in the opening rounds.

On the other hand, Basharat’s strategic striking accuracy and grappling control could allow him to slow the pace and pick his moments more carefully.

If Basharat uses his length advantage early to keep Matsumoto at range, he might avoid early damage and counter effectively.

However, if Matsumoto closes the distance successfully, his combination volume could start dictating exchanges.

Community Picks and Early Odds

Tapology community predictions lean toward Basharat, with roughly 72% of fans picking him to win compared to Matsumoto’s 28%.

Pre-fight betting odds also show Basharat as a moderate favorite, reflecting his undefeated streak and sharp fight control.

Predictions: Jean Matsumoto vs Farid Basharat

While Jean Matsumoto brings strong momentum and a well-rounded offensive game, Farid Basharat appears to hold the edge based on his undefeated status, technical striking accuracy, and higher defensive numbers.

Basharat’s range management and takedown threat could disrupt Matsumoto’s rhythm over three rounds.

Prediction: Basharat wins by decision or late round control.

However, if Matsumoto can maintain a high pace and keep the fight standing, he could force a close decision or even take a late finish with sustained pressure.

Closing Thoughts

The Jean Matsumoto vs Farid Basharat matchup promises an exciting bantamweight contest at UFC Vegas 113.

Matsumoto’s aggressive striking will meet Basharat’s technical poise in a fight where style versus substance becomes clear once the cage door closes.

Fans should watch how each fighter sets the pace early, as the first round will likely shape the rhythm of the entire bout.

Regardless of the outcome, this matchup highlights two of the division’s rising talents in an electrically paced fight night main card.

MMA Reporter

We are specialize in statistics-based MMA analysis, focusing on striking numbers, grappling metrics, pressure rates, and historical performance trends. At MMApredict, we use data modeling and matchup evaluation to offer fans smarter predictions and deeper insights into every fight. No emotions — just clean, researched breakdowns.

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