Michal Oleksiejczuk vs Marc-Andre Barriault Prediction – UFC Fight Night Breakdown & Forecast

The highly anticipated middleweight bout between Michał Oleksiejczuk and Marc‑Andre Barriault at UFC Fight Night 266 has fight fans buzzing ahead of the clash.

With both fighters showcasing contrasting career paths and skill sets, this matchup promises fireworks inside the Octagon.

Here’s a detailed look at both fighters, their strengths, weaknesses, and a prediction on who could come out on top.

Michal Oleksiejczuk vs Marc-Andre Barriault

Fighter Profiles and Background

Michal Oleksiejczuk – The Hussar

Poland’s Michal “Hussar” Oleksiejczuk is one of the most exciting middleweights in the UFC.

The 30-year-old stands at 6’0″ with a 74″ reach and fights out of Sao Paulo, Brazil, under the Fighting Nerds team.

With a professional MMA record of 21–9–0 (1 No Contest), Oleksiejczuk has been in the UFC since 2017 and brings explosive striking and finishing ability to every fight.

Oleksiejczuk’s fight history includes 16 knockout victories, showing that he has dangerous power in his hands.

While inconsistency has been a recurring theme, he possesses a southpaw stance that allows him to create awkward striking angles and keep opponents guessing.

In recent years, the Polish striker has worked on rounding out his game, including wrestling and defensive grappling, but he still walks into fights known for his striking aggression first and foremost.

Marc-Andre Barriault – The Power Bar

Marc-Andre “Power Bar” Barriault is a seasoned middleweight from Canada with a professional MMA record of 17–10–0.

Standing slightly taller at 6’1″ and also boasting a 74″ reach, Barriault fights out of Gatineau, Quebec. He is known for his one-punch power and toughness inside the cage.

While his record may appear less flashy than Oleksiejczuk’s, Barriault is a rugged competitor with 11 knockout wins and a reputation for pushing forward with pressure.

Throughout his career, he’s shown resilience and an ability to land heavy strikes in the pocket.

However, Barriault’s recent form in the UFC has been mixed. In his last five bouts, he alternated wins and losses, showing moments of brilliance but also vulnerabilities against technical strikers and wrestlers alike.

Strengths & Weaknesses Comparison

Striking and Fight Style

• Oleksiejczuk is known for high-output striking and knockout power. His southpaw stance gives him a stylistic edge against orthodox fighters, often opening up unique angles for attacks. With solid significant strike accuracy and offensive output, he’s a threat whenever he throws.
• Barriault also has noteworthy striking power but tends to rely on heavier, fewer shots rather than volume. His stand-up work is effective at close range, and he’s comfortable engaging in firefights. However, his accuracy and defensive metrics lag slightly compared to more precise strikers.

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Grappling and Fight IQ

• Oleksiejczuk has shown willingness to shoot for takedowns and improve his ground game, but his core strength remains striking. His takedowns, while not elite, can change the pace if executed successfully.
• Barriault is primarily a striker and has limited offensive wrestling. His takedown average is low, and he often chooses to keep the fight standing. Defensively, he has shown decent takedown defense, but against persistent wrestlers, he can be tested.

Form and Momentum

Oleksiejczuk enters this bout with a bit more momentum, having shown improvements and training shifts that aim to broaden his skill set.

Despite a spotty UFC record, he’s still relatively young and motivated to climb the middleweight ladder.

Barriault’s late career has shown resilience but also inconsistency. While he can knock out any opponent with a single shot, his recent losses indicate that he hasn’t been able to string together dominant performances consistently.

Michal Oleksiejczuk vs Marc-Andre Barriault Prediction

This matchup looks poised to be a striking battle from bell to bell. Both Oleksiejczuk and Barriault are comfortable standing and trading, and neither fighter will likely shy away from exchanges.

Given Oleksiejczuk’s higher strike output and southpaw tools, he could edge the fight by controlling the tempo and landing combinations.

If he stays disciplined, avoids taking heavy shots early, and manages distance effectively, Oleksiejczuk’s volume and precision could win him rounds on the judges’ scorecards.

Barriault, on the other hand, must find his power shots and capitalize on one mistake to do serious damage.

A single clean punch from “Power Bar” could turn the tide, but he needs to manage pace better and avoid extended striking duels where volume outpaces his output.

Prediction: Oleksiejczuk wins a competitive decision or late stoppage if he dictates range and maintains consistent offense.

Also read- Jean Matsumoto vs Farid Basharat Prediction: Who Wins At UFC Vegas 113?

Final Thoughts

This fight between Oleksiejczuk and Barriault represents a clash between two tough middleweights with real finishing ability. Fans should expect a fast-paced standing fight, with both men willing to trade in the pocket.

In a matchup where precision and volume may outweigh single big shots, Oleksiejczuk’s style gives him a slight edge. However, Barriault’s power keeps him dangerous throughout all three rounds.

Regardless of the outcome, this fight should deliver exciting moments and plenty of action for UFC Fight Night viewers.