UFC 324 features a very interesting bantamweight matchup that could reshape the title picture. The fight between Umar Nurmagomedov and Deiveson Figueiredo brings together two fighters from very different backgrounds, skill sets, and career stages.
One is a highly promoted prospect carrying a famous last name, while the other is a proven former world champion with experience in high-pressure fights.
This is not just another bantamweight bout. The winner could be one step away from a title opportunity in one of the UFC’s most competitive divisions.
Let’s break down the matchup in detail and arrive at a clear Umar Nurmagomedov vs Deiveson Figueiredo prediction based on skills, records, styles, and recent performances.
UFC 324 and the Stakes of This Fight
At UFC 324, the bantamweight division is once again under the spotlight. With contenders constantly rotating near the top, every high-profile win matters.
This fight is especially important because both fighters are positioned close to elite-level matchups.
For Umar Nurmagomedov, this is a chance to silence critics who believe he has not yet beaten a truly dangerous finisher.
For Deiveson Figueiredo, this bout is about proving that his move to bantamweight was the right decision and that he still belongs among the elite.
Umar Nurmagomedov: Hype, Talent, and Unanswered Questions
Umar Nurmagomedov entered the UFC with heavy expectations. Being the cousin of Khabib Nurmagomedov automatically brought attention, but Umar is not just a product of his family name.
He is a skilled striker, a disciplined fighter, and someone who understands distance control very well.
Umar Nurmagomedov’s UFC Run
Umar has picked up victories over solid opponents in the bantamweight division. His striking is clean, his movement is smooth, and he rarely puts himself in unnecessary danger.
However, one criticism has followed him throughout his UFC career: the lack of dominant finishes against top-level opponents.
Out of his UFC wins, most have come by decision. While that shows cardio and control, it also raises concerns about his ability to finish elite fighters who refuse to break mentally or physically.
Wrestling and Grappling Reality
Many fans assume that because Umar comes from Dagestan, his wrestling must be elite. While his grappling is good, it is not at the same level as Khabib and Islam Makhachev.
Umar prefers timing-based takedowns rather than relentless chain wrestling. Against lower-ranked fighters, this works well. Against physically strong and experienced opponents, it becomes more challenging.
His loss to Merab Dvalishvili exposed some of these limitations. Merab overwhelmed Umar with pressure, pace, and nonstop takedown attempts.
Umar struggled to adjust and clearly lost that fight, showing that his wrestling defense and adaptability still need improvement.
Deiveson Figueiredo: A Proven Champion With Complete Skills
Deiveson Figueiredo is the complete opposite in terms of career experience. He is a former flyweight champion who has fought the very best under extreme pressure.
His MMA record of 25 wins, 5 losses, 1 draw, and 1 no contest reflects a career built on finishing ability and adaptability.
Striking Power and Aggression
Figueiredo carries serious power in his hands. Even after moving up to bantamweight, his punching power remains a major threat.
He does not need many clean shots to hurt an opponent, and once he smells blood, he becomes extremely dangerous.
Unlike Umar, Figueiredo is comfortable taking risks. He will exchange in the pocket, throw combinations, and force his opponent to react.
This aggression can sometimes work against him, but it also makes him a constant finishing threat.
Ground Game and Submissions
One of the most underrated aspects of Figueiredo’s game is his Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu. He has multiple submission wins and is especially dangerous in scrambles.
If an opponent makes even a small mistake on the ground, Figueiredo can capitalize quickly.
This is a key factor in this matchup. If Umar chooses to wrestle, he cannot afford to be careless. Figueiredo is excellent at attacking the neck, arms, and transitions from bottom or top positions.
Style Matchup: Where the Fight Is Won or Lost
Striking Exchanges
On the feet, Umar Nurmagomedov is technically cleaner. His jab, kicks, and footwork are sharp, and he knows how to manage range.
However, Figueiredo brings raw power and unpredictability. Umar may land more strikes, but Figueiredo’s shots are more damaging.
If this becomes a prolonged striking battle, Umar might win rounds on points, but every exchange carries danger. One clean punch from Figueiredo can completely change the fight.
Wrestling and Ground Control
This is where the fight becomes very interesting. Umar may attempt takedowns to slow Figueiredo down.
The problem is maintaining control. Figueiredo is strong, explosive, and experienced in grappling exchanges.
If Umar cannot keep Figueiredo pinned and controlled, the takedown attempts may backfire.
A failed shot or sloppy transition could lead to a submission attempt or heavy ground strikes from Figueiredo.
Cardio and Pace
Umar generally fights at a steady pace and looks comfortable over three rounds. Figueiredo has proven he can go deep into fights as well, but his aggressive style can sometimes lead to energy dips.
The question is whether Umar can survive the early danger and push the fight into later rounds where technique and patience matter more.
Mental Toughness and Big-Fight Experience
This is an area where Figueiredo clearly has the advantage. He has headlined events, defended titles, and fought under immense pressure. Umar is still building that experience.
In close moments, championship experience matters. Figueiredo has been there before. Umar is still learning what it feels like to fight someone who refuses to be intimidated.
Umar Nurmagomedov vs Deiveson Figueiredo Prediction
Looking at all aspects of this matchup, Deiveson Figueiredo appears to have more paths to victory. He can win by knockout, submission, or even by decision if needed.
Umar’s clearest path is a disciplined, technical performance with controlled takedowns and clean striking from range.
However, maintaining that level of control against a fighter as dangerous and well-rounded as Figueiredo is extremely difficult.
Final Prediction Breakdown
- Umar Nurmagomedov’s chance to win: 35%
- Deiveson Figueiredo’s chance to win: 65%
Figueiredo’s power, grappling threat, and experience give him the edge. If the fight hits the ground, Figueiredo is likely to be more dangerous. If it stays standing, one big moment could decide everything.
What’s Next for the Winner?
The bantamweight division is moving fast. The winner of this fight could earn a title shot against Petr Yan or another top contender, depending on UFC matchmaking decisions.
A win here is not just about rankings. It is about proving legitimacy in one of the toughest divisions in the sport.
Final Thoughts
Umar Nurmagomedov vs Deiveson Figueiredo is a high-risk, high-reward fight for both men.
Umar is fighting to justify the hype and prove he belongs at the top. Figueiredo is fighting to remind the world that champions do not fade easily.
Expect an intense, competitive fight with real consequences for the bantamweight title picture.
While Umar has the tools to compete, Deiveson Figueiredo’s experience and finishing ability make him the more likely winner at UFC 324.